Global oil markets fell sharply on Thursday as Brent crude dropped to $77.70 a barrel, driven by a US-Iran peace agreement that has eased geopolitical tensions and raised hopes of renewed Gulf oil exports. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged but lifted its year-end forecast to 3.8%, sending mixed signals to investors already grappling with the dual forces of potential US rate hikes and Middle East stability. The dollar initially strengthened before easing, while US stocks closed lower on Wednesday .

Fuel prices continued their decline across Europe, with Euro95 petrol falling by 0.7 cents and diesel by 1.1 cents, following the breakthrough in negotiations that reopened the Strait of Hormuz. The Bank of England held its benchmark rate at 3.75% on Thursday, citing reduced inflationary risks from lower oil prices and the US-Iran truce . Jet fuel prices also tumbled, offering relief to airlines after months of soaring costs .

Analysts at JPMorgan argued that European equities now appear "attractively cheap" following the oil price slump, suggesting a potential buying opportunity for investors . However, not all sectors are benefiting equally. The Ibex 35 in Spain held steady at 19,400 points after a 1.35% rally the previous day, while Brussels’ stock exchange ended lower despite optimism over Middle Eastern developments .

The Fed’s shift under new leadership has unsettled markets, with Kevin Warsh’s tenure marking a departure from earlier dovish signals. Futures pointed to a modest rebound on Wall Street on Thursday, but broader European indices remained cautious . Meanwhile, Grifols, the Spanish blood plasma group, moved closer to a US stock market listing to correct its market valuation, a move analysts say could reshape its financial strategy .

Despite lower fuel costs, Europe’s transition to electric vehicles is expected to remain on track. Industry analysts predict that the price drop will not significantly slow EV adoption, as long-term climate policies and technological advancements continue to drive consumer preferences . The geopolitical détente, therefore, offers a dual dividend: immediate relief for consumers and businesses, and a potential catalyst for long-term energy market restructuring.

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Bank of England keeps rates steady as it weighs Iran truce reut.rs/3SfZyl8

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