
11 months · 39 summary articles
Ukraine intensifies strikes deep inside Russia, hitting oil refineries and military targets as Kyiv seeks to cripple Moscow’s war machine and force negotiations within months. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed overnight attacks on an oil refinery in Bashkortostan—over 1,300 km from the front line—and a defence plant in Penza, while Ukrainian media reported strikes on a military airbase in occupied Crimea.
The campaign is taking a severe toll on Russian logistics. Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov told reporters that Ukrainian strikes on Crimean and southern targets have triggered “a large accumulation of crises,” forcing Russian forces into 30 km forced marches and fuel rationing across multiple regions. Shortages have reached occupied Crimea, where authorities have declared a state of emergency, shops are closing, and residents are fleeing the peninsula.
Kyiv is also targeting Russia’s shadow fleet. Deputy Prime Minister Oleksii Kuleba urged the International Maritime Organization to classify vessels supporting Moscow’s war effort as legitimate military targets, arguing they finance the invasion. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s drone and missile campaign has forced Russia to relocate frontline logistics hubs, disrupting supply lines and military mobility.
On the diplomatic front, Ukraine is racing to secure billions in additional Western military aid before Moscow adapts. Fedorov told *Politico* that Kyiv needs several billion euros more to sustain its momentum, including funds for drones, missiles, and advanced technology to keep Russian forces on the defensive. Sweden has already committed, signing a $2.5 billion deal for 16 Gripen E fighter jets to be delivered by 2029, a move analysts say marks a turning point in Ukraine’s defensive capabilities.
Domestically, the strain is showing. Russia’s top banker, Sberbank CEO German Gref, publicly called for an end to the war, warning that public sentiment is shifting amid fuel shortages and economic strain. Polling by Gallup indicates over half of Russians now express pessimism—the first such decline in two decades.
Analysts caution that while Ukraine’s strikes are inflicting damage, they may not yet force Putin to negotiate. Fuel shortages are severe but not yet existential, and Russia’s military-industrial complex is adapting. Still, with Kyiv pushing for a decisive shift in the war’s momentum, the coming months could prove pivotal—both on the battlefield and in the corridors of power in Moscow.
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