The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has surged to a record 37% in a new Infratest dimap poll for Brandenburg, marking its highest-ever result in the state and dealing a severe blow to the governing SPD-CDU coalition just 100 days into its term. The survey, published on 25 June 2026, shows the SPD of Ministerpräsident Dietmar Woidke collapsing to 22%, while the CDU and Left Party each register 12%, effectively tying for third place behind the AfD’s commanding lead.

The poll, reported by *Welt* , underscores widespread voter disillusionment with the coalition’s performance since taking office in March. Analysts and rival parties are scrambling to interpret the shift, with the AfD framing the result as a “receipt” for Woidke’s leadership, while the SPD insists it remains focused on rebuilding trust through policy delivery.

The political earthquake comes as a separate, donation-funded legal analysis published the same day suggests the AfD’s prospects of facing a federal ban have significantly improved. A team of constitutional experts, commissioned by a civil society initiative, concluded that the party’s foundational documents, parliamentary motions, and public statements by its officials now meet the threshold for a potential prohibition under Germany’s Basic Law. The 25 June report in *Handelsblatt* did not specify a timeline but noted that the threshold for initiating proceedings had been lowered by recent jurisprudence.

Woidke, whose approval ratings have plummeted in lockstep with the SPD’s polling collapse, has sought to downplay the significance of the survey, telling reporters that “trust is built over time, not overnight.” His CDU partners, meanwhile, have distanced themselves from the coalition’s poor showing, with party strategists privately conceding that the SPD’s leadership has failed to articulate a compelling vision beyond crisis management.

The AfD’s rise in Brandenburg—long a left-leaning bastion—mirrors broader trends across eastern Germany, where the party has capitalized on economic anxiety, migration debates, and frustration with mainstream parties. The poll’s findings are expected to intensify pressure on Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s federal government to address regional disparities and counter the AfD’s narrative ahead of next year’s Bundestag elections.

With the AfD now polling above 30% in multiple eastern states, the question is no longer whether the party will shape the political agenda, but how quickly mainstream parties can reverse the trend—or whether the federal government will move to outlaw the AfD before it consolidates further gains.

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